Argus Americas Crude Summit - January 2009

The Global Oil Market: An Uneasy Alliance Between Paper and Physical Oil

SUMMARY: Predicting the future of oil prices will depend as much on understanding the paper fundamentals as the physical fundamentals

Tighter regulation may affect leverage, categorization of trader, transparency in futures and OTC

Even with a major economic slowdown and policies targeting conservation and alternative fuels, the underlying global oil supply chain will not rebuild enough spare capacity to allow flat or falling nominal prices


   
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