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Northeast
Power Market Outlook: 2002-2010
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NORTHEAST
POWER MARKET OUTLOOK: 2002-2010
by Dr.
Edward Krapels, Ph.D.
A new
ESAI study, Northeast Power Market Outlook: 2002-2010,
examines how proposed transmission pathways, load evolution,
and new power plant construction will coalesce over the next
eight years. The report provides power price forecasts and
zonal spread forecasts for key markets, and indications of
the major judgments investors and traders will have to make
to understand power market dynamics.
The
Northeastern United States constitutes a power market with
load and generation facilities in excess of 100,000MW. The
market currently consists of three power pools: NEPOOL, NYCA,
and PJM. Since all three regions are committed to power market
deregulation, they constitute the largest true power market
in the world.
Currently,
transmission constraints severely limit transfers between
the regions and between the different pricing zones within
the regions. In addition, the markets are organized around
significantly different trading rules and regulations.
Planned
power generation and merchant transmission projects will play
a key role in integrating the northeast markets. The northeastern
power markets will change significantly over the next decade
depending on which of the projects get funded and built. The
price of power and the value of generators and transmission
pathways will all be profoundly affected by the increased
integration, the increased depth and liquidity of the Northeast.
The
Northeast power markets will become a model - a counter-model
to California, if you will - of how to organize a power market.
Northeast Power Market Outlook: 2002-2010 will
examine all of these impending developments and provide a
snapshot of northeastern power markets in 2010.
ESAI
is selling the report for US $2,500. For more information
contact Jill Kinsley, Tel: 781/245-2036:E-mail: jkinsley@esai.com.
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