Outlook for Thursday, July 3rd: BEARISH

  • Our outlook for Thursday continues to be bearish. Despite the recent uptrend, with continued overbought signals in the market and another end-of-day price retreat Wednesday, ESAI expects prices to move lower Thursday.
  • One of our momentum indicators continues to signal that the market is in an overbought range. This signal strengthened Wednesday as prices closed above $143 and will likely provide increased downward pressure on prices Thursday.
  • Prices broke through the $143 weak resistance level Wednesday. The market did retreat slightly at the end of the day, however, so $143 may still be offering resistance.
  • Our short-term volatility indicator is no longer bullish.
  • The longer term uptrend that has emerged over the past week is likely to continue.
  • Crude prices climbed $2.60 to close at a record $143.57. We were slightly bearish.

 

*ESAI does not endorse any particular trading strategy or futures position. The estimates given here are our judgment and are subject to change without notice.

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